August 20, 2017
After it became clear that there was too much work to wrap it up by the August 1 deadline, I received an extension from McFarland to submit the text, photos, and illustrations for my book. Matching the exacting publisher’s standards with the great volume of work still to do (there’s SO MUCH material still to marshall), I asked for the extra time and Charlie Perdue granted it. Thanks, Charlie!
This extension was a godsend for another reason, too: Steve Roullier doesn’t have all of the photos from me that need “photoshop rescuing,” and Bob Wick hasn’t had the time to finish the exquisite engineering drawings he’s doing of the unique mechanical systems that Starbird employed to build the Predicta. These fellows need the time to finish their work properly. This extension will result in a much better book.
Work is progressing very well — I’m now devoting my time to the intricate work of preparing the end notes and the various Appendices;
As noted under the July 2017 date, below, I hired famed illustrator Brad Leisure to do the box art for the first of phantom, “what if” kits that we’ll be making. You may remember that I want to do the kit that “halo” Monogram might have offered — the equivalent of the Johan Turbine Car kit — but didn’t because, as Roger Harney told me, Besser refused to commit the funds to do a more detailed kit. Well, I’m going to fix that by creating a one-off kit that might have been produced. This kit will require new box art.
Here are a couple of photos of the “rough-draft” of a mockup kit box lid.
My thanks to Bob Wick for his basic layout of the box art, to Dave Hadley for creating the text for the box lid and, of course, to Brad Leisure for his incredible work!
To learn more about the phantom kits we’ll be doing, you may want to read more about the phantom kits that are an essential part of The Predicta Project.
Both Kustoms Illustrated and the KKOA magazine, The Trendsetter, have carried notices for my Predicta book. Luke Karosi (who’s the editor for Kustoms Illustrated) is a great championship for traditionally-styled custom cars. Luke has always been very supportive of the Predicta book. Go to his website, here.
Jerry Titus is the head honcho at the Kustom Kemps of America which was formed in 1980. Under his prescient leadership, Jerry has nearly single-handedly ‘rescued” the custom car movement in the United States, and has been very helpful with research for my book. Go to the KKOA website, here.
Check out the very generous display advertisement that Luke and Jerry have published for the book.
The video of my interview of Darryl Starbird at GSL-XXVI has been finished-edited, and uploaded to The Predicta Project YouTube channel. This video will be the first of several videos that will appear on The Predicta Project channel. My thanks to Dave and Tonya Hadley for the filming and processing of the raw video; to Nashaela Lyons for arranging for the interview.
Jonnie King, who presents The Legends website, has contacted me and offered to promote the book when it’s available. He says he’ll also promote the Project itself. He contacted me very recently — I’ll be sending him a complimentary copy of the book that he’ll review online. I’m sure Jonnie’s generous promotion will help sales.
August 12, 2017
In answer to a few questions, note that all book royalties will be spend exclusively on creating the phantom kits that the Project contemplates. For more information about the phantom kits, go here.
We’re happy to announce, and premiere here, the phantom kit artwork that famous illustrator Brad Leisure has created on commission from The Predicta Project. In a future update, I’ll feature some images of the box and one side of the box. This is the box art for the phantom kit described here.
At GSL-XXVI, I had the distinct honor of interviewing Darryl. Darryl and Donna Starbird graciously participated at GSL-XXVI as our guests of honor. They presented a seminar “How I Worked with Monogram Models in the Sixties.” Attached is the Schedule for GSL-XXVI.
In the interview, Darryl focused on the history of restyling cars and other details. GSL Trustee and video authority Dave Hadley video-filmed the interview, and has produced this video.
Note that this video is Copyright, 2017, The Predicta Project. My special thanks to Dave and Tonya Hadley for doing the filming and editing at GSL-XXVI, to Nashaela Lyons for being the aide de camp for Darryl and Donna Starbird when they were the Guests of Honor at GSL-XXVI. I’m not smart enough to handle any of these tasks and I express my deepest gratitude to these folks for their help.
The Trustees at the GSL International Scale Vehicle Championship and Convention were pleased to welcome, as honored guests, Darryl and Donna Starbird. They spent three days with those GSL participants — those competing and viewing the Twenty-Sixth Championship, and they participated in the Predicta Project seminar that was presented on the evening of May 27, 2017 (GSL Schedule here). In the near future, we’ll upload to here a link to a video of that seminar which introduced the Project to the public, and features a short movie that Darryl brought with him to GSL. Dave Hadley, a GSL Trustee and video/technical expert, filmed (with his wife, Tonya’s assistance) the seminar and is editing the video so it can be uploaded.
April 15, 2017
It is the tradition of the Tri-Stat e Model Car Club to present the largest gathering of modelers — in a non-competitive format — to display their scale models. Colloquially called NNL-East, this event is covered widely in the media.
The Predicta Project prepared and donated a built up model of one of the very rare metallic/pearl red versions of the kit to be auctioned at the NNL-East event held on April 22, 2017. The proceeds from this model — $356.00 — were contributed to the coffers of the International Model Car Builders’ Museum. Additionally, NNL East (through the leadership of Tom Geiger and his team of public-spirited modelers) make an annual and very significant monetary contribution to the Museum each year.
For this model, several things needed to be done: we had to present a built-up of the rare version, and we needed tod display the on a reproduction of the vintage Monogram hobby store display base. Years ago, I purchased a reproduction display base off Ebay — it looked great but featured two misspelled words on the front vertical rise of the base. I checked my original display — and the misspellings weren’t there meaning that the fellow doing the reproduction didn’t know how to spell. So, I turned to Steve Roullier who created correct side panels for the aftermarket display by digitally altering the reproduction image.
Additionally, UMAG member Paul Bringhurst detailed the built-up model (that I purchased from Ebay) by polishing the body and clear bubble, and generally detailing the model.
The model looked great — Paul is an acknowledged master of antiseptic model building.
When placed atop the display base, it looked great.
With the help of Karen Nielsen, I prepared a display card that was placed near the model at NNL-East 2017.
We express our deepest gratitude to Steve Roullier, Paul Bringhurst, Karen Nielsen, Tom Geiger and all the other fellows who present the famed NNL show each year. Go here to learn more about this great scale auto modeling event.
The Predicta Project is delighted to declare that Darryl and Donna Starbird will attend the Twenty-Sixth GSL International Scale Vehicle Championship and Convention, where Darryl will present a seminar on his recollections of working with Monogram Models as the company’s Custom Car Consultant from 1961 through 1967. The GSL Championship is honored to host Darryl and his wife — both of whom have been good friends with Mark S. Gustavson and who have shown him the greatest patience and help in preparing materials for the forthcoming book from McFarland Books. Ultimately (later this year), a video tape of Darryl’s seminar will be posted as a link go the GSL Library Page whose present contents can be found here.
Work progresses well on the book for McFarland Books. Though Mark has previously written four books, there’s something unique about this experience. The submission standards are strict. And the text, end notes, appendices, photos with captions and photo credits — and a thousand other tasks — by July1!
Work on the diorama of the original shop progresses. Jim “Hollywood” Fernandez, one of the model car hobby’s greatest dioramists, is building a 1/24 scale diorama of Darryl’s original shop where so many of Starbird’s great cars were built including the Predicta. This diorama will provide the setting for the presentation of several “construction date” versions of the Predicta as well as models (in their unfinished, “dated” states) so that the wonderful history of the original Starbird shop can be appreciated. Listen here to the words from famed dioramist Fernandez:
“To best tell the remarkable story of the creation, and initial finishing of the Predicta, and it’s later restyling for Monogram Models, it’s important that we build a 1/24th scale replica of Darryl Starbird’s Star Kustom Shop. Before building the actual diorama we needed to first determine the size, detail and layout of the shop. To date, hours of detailed research has been done using old black and white photos, Google Map pictures of the actual building that still exists and correspondence with Darryl Starbird himself. Drawings were made and a cardboard mockup diorama has been built.
We still need to determine what building materials will be used to build the shop replica. We also need to determine which walls and sections of the roof will be removable in order to produce the photographs necessary to tell the story of all of the great custom car work that was accomplished in the historical shop.”
Now, check out the photo essay that Fernandez has assembled.
The Predicta Project again expresses it greatest appreciation to Pizac Photography LLC for the gracious permission to use the photos taken by the legendary Robert Hegge. Each such photo will be footnoted by this caption: Photo by Robert Hegge/Pizac Photography LLC) ** ALL RIGHTS RESERVED **
Monogram has given our Project permission to make use of the “Monogram” name, logo, fonts and other “trade dress” from the early Sixties so that the phantom kits we’ll be producing will be “authentic” in every way. I am deeply grateful to Ed Sexton of Monogram who has been incredible supportive of this Project. Thanks, Ed!
Famed illustrator Brad Leisure is making good progress on the art for the ‘Halo” kit. Brad has worked for weeks to layout the image, working on colors, placement of key items and the like. I’ve assisted by reviewing , selecting images of key mid-Twentieth Century “Modernism” architecture that appear in the background. This art will be ready to display at GSL-XXVI, and then that art will be shown here. This art will be used for the lid of the phantom kit box we’re going to make (and then populate with custom-made scale parts to create an authentic “vintage” kit). Dave Hadley has created some of the digital art/text for the cover of the box. This box-lid art will be phenomenal. Note that Brad’s art is based upon the schematic layout done by Bob Wick.
The Predicta Project has been “advertised” by the donation of a rare built-up pearl red model on a pre-production/prototype of the vintage Monogram display box. This model will be auctioned at the famed NNL-East model show. The NNL-East gathering auctions something of great value each year and donates the proceeds to the International Model Car Builders’ Museum. Check out the photos of the highly-detailed pearl red version (extremely early production) placed on a prototype display base which, when finished, will show on the side panels images that also appear on the faux box lid we’re going to do for the halo kit. Here’s the Information Card that will accompany the exhibit at the NNL East Show. Here are a few photos of the pearl red model atop the re-popped display box.
The Project has also started a program to create “Predicta History Cards” that will reveal and comment upon key, if little known, events in the history of Starbird’s greatest car. To see the first such card, Predicta History Card. Color copies of this history sheet will be distributed, without cost, at the Predicta seminar that will be presented at GSL-XXVI. Go here to see the Schedule for GSL-XXVI . This first Predicta History card is based upon an advertisement in the November 1967 issue of Car Craft Magazine. Here’s that advert that’s been colorized by a fellow in Canada.
I’m pleased to tell you that there’s been remarkable progress and developments in The Predicta Project. Check out the following details:
First, I’ve been privileged to enter into a contract with McFarland — the leading independent publishing house of academic and non-fiction books. The full-length book, complete with dozens of color and black and white photos, mechanical illustrations and digital images, will be offered in soft cover format. I’ve been incredibly pleased to work with Charles Purdue who has been very helpful in answering many questions that I’ve had. Go here to learn more about McFarland.
Second, the Predicta Project will be the focus of one of the several seminars that will be presented at the twenty-sixth GSL International Scale Vehicle Championship and Convention, to be held next April 27-30, at the Salt Lake City Sheraton hotel. In this seminar, I’ll outline the details of the project (including the phantom kits that will be created), the books and other elements of the project that will be announced there. And I’ll give away one of the rarest models in the history of the hobby — a built-up “pearl red plastic” Predicta model. Learn more about the most famed scale vehicle championship anywhere.
Third, it’s been my pleasure to get acquainted with famed photographer Doug Pizac who has done historic photographic work for a nearly uncounted number of governmental and private entities during his 40 + year career. For more on Doug’s incredible background and talents, check out his website. You’ll be stunned as I was. Doug’s connection to The Predicta Project is that he owns the entire photo library of his uncle, Robert Hegge, who once worked for all of the hot rod and custom car magazines as well as in other capacities. Doug and I had lunch together a few weeks ago, after which he generously offered to digitally clean up his uncle’s 1961 photos of the Predicta and to license to me those images for both this website and the Predicta book. Here’s a sample of these Predicta images from Roger, as licensed from Pizac Photography.
All of Mr. Hegge’s photos are used pursuant to a royalty arrangement with Pizac Photography and may not be copied or used in any other venue. Thanks, Doug, for your generous licensing agreement and for reworking your uncle’s great historic photographs!
Fourth, dioramist Jim “Hollywood” Fernandez will be generously building a 1/24-scale diorama of Starbird’s first (first pic below) where Starbird built the Predicta, the Forcasta (second pic below), the Ultra Truck (third pic below) and several other of his most famous bubble-topped cars. This diorama will be the setting for a scene from the history of the Predicta — when it was being restyled and rebuilt to promote the Monogram kit. Jim’s known world-wide for his incredible and thoughtful dioramas — he’s won several of the top awards at the GSL Championships. Jim will be a part of the Predicta Project seminar at GSL-XXVI. Learn more about the schedule of GSL. Or visit the GSL Championship site.
Fifth, well-known automotive illustrator and designer Brad Leisure will be producing several color renderings for The Predicta Project. Check out Brad’s work. Brad’s work will include the final art for the phantom boxes (based upon Bob Wick’s preliminary layouts for the enhanced kit and Big Predicta and the Big Predicta, a painting of the restyled Predicta that will be the focus of the “alternative-history” part of the project, and some other elements, too. Brad will also be asked to do the color painting of Bob Wick’s vision of the future of the car — this Project is nothing if not about scope! — Bob Wick and I have spoken in that past about the ultimate fate of the Predicta. What if it were discovered in some future era, crashed downslope, by curious auto archaeologists a century or more from now?
Sixth, I’m more than pleased to announce that my decades-long friend and colleague, Bob Wick, will continue in his role as artistic consultant in this Project. Bob will prepare the art for the myriad photo-etched parts that will be required for the various models, and he will be the conceptual layout artist for project art. He’s already designed the box art for two of the Phantom Kits and he’ll be preparing the art for the many photo-etched brass parts that will be needed to build the multiple parts needed for The Predicta Project. Thanks, Bob, for your dedication and insight!
Seventh, Steve Roullier has joined the Predicta Project team — Steve will be creating the many digital images, and will rescue historic photos that were damaged by the years or defective when taken. Steve is also working now on helping Predicta Headquarters to discover — through digitized photography – where the problems are with the original Monogram kit so we can create a dimensionally correct body that can be the basis for the several phantom kits that we intend to build. Here are a couple of his preliminary images where he’s superimposed a near-profile image of the real car over the kit body, and an image in which he digitally created, in color, the missing six inches of the front of a full-color photo of the car by importing a bit of the matching black and white image and then matching the color to the rest of the color image – thereby correcting a decades-old error. One way of addressing the badly-inaccurate body (both shapes and dimensions) starts by learning the substantial differences between the kit measurements and those generated from the car. Thanks to Darryl Starbird by taking the several hours to derive the measurements for our project. Go here for more info.
Eighth. As you’ll read about in the Vintage Kits That Never Were page, you’ll learn about the incredible array of “what if,” or phantom, kits that will be created — along with the book, these projects and accompanying speculative history elements comprise the core of this great Project. With the greatest respect to both Mr. Starbird and Monogram Models, we’ll be creating kits that could have been offered in the 1963-64 era, a diorama of Starbird’s original shop, and then look far into the future when a wrecked and abandoned Predicta is discovered and restored (and mechanically updated) in a 22nd Century restoration facility.
Ninth, the physical size of all of the eventually completed elements of The Predicta Project requires a venue in which those items can be placed both as the Project is underway and after its completion. We need room for several filing cabinets, two physically large dioramas, art, display cabinets for models built for this project and other elements. For that reason, I am dedicating a well-built 200 square foot building as the host venue for The Predicta Project; in that one area, I’ll archive all materials related to the Project. Check out this photo essay of the construction of the building.
With the Predicta Project finally genuinely underway, please check back often. Your comments and suggestions (even well-considered critiques) are always welcomed. You can e-mail me at email@example.com but be SURE to put “Predicta” in the subject line.
Mark S. Gustavson, December 27, 2016
In response to a note, my friend Luke Karosi, placed in his great traditional custom car magazine Kustoms Illustrated, in which I asked his readership if any of them had any photos of the Predicta. In response, Richard Toonkel and the Jerry Eich Photo Collection sent me some previously unknown photos of the car. These color photos will be used in the book, and are found elsewhere in this site. If you haven’t already, subscribe to the first-rate magazine by going here.
In the past, the scope of The Predicta Project wasn’t well-defined; in fact, the Project was badly disorganized with no clear central theme or plan going forward. Started initially in 2002, this Project has languished for too many years without a clear goal amid shifting objectives and sometimes benign neglect. Irregular updates to the old site occurred, but they did little more than tweak a lot of text and pictures rather than bringing clarity and direction to this Project. There was some website “flash,” but there was almost no substantive progress noted except comments about continuing research on my book. It seems I confused updates to the old site to be equivalent to progress on the Project — and that was nonsense. At 63, it’s become clear to me that I needed to move forward with this Project that will take a few years to complete — if I want to get it done in my lifetime! Though I’m zen enough (mixed with my Mormon metaphysics) to understand that “it’s the journey,” I also want to get this Project fully underway so I can fully enjoy the completion of its many elements while still young enough to do so, and to promote to the hobby the skills and techniques. Therefore, I’ve refocused my thinking on this Project, and have substantially revised every element of this effort except plans for my book (on which I’ve been working for nearly 4 years!); the book will be the first Project element to be completed. The result of a nearly seven-month review of the whole Predicta Project, including this site, has resulted in a Project program now clearly focused for the first time — all for the purpose of uncovering and exploring the full history of Starbird’s remarkable car and the model car kit it spawned. We’ll also pursue the creation of a couple of phantom “kit-based” versions of the historic Predicta kit (based upon historic still-born Monogram objectives that were shelved), and we’ll speculate on what the car (and another phantom kit) might have been like if Ford had made an irresistible proposal to Starbird upon which Monogram concurrently capitalized. The mixture of the book, the creation of several kits that could have existed (but never did), and at least three sophisticated scale models (and possible three dioramas!) will flesh out this Project. To best honor and describe Darryl Starbird’s greatest design effort, I knew that I needed the help of other professionals to assist me to get an organized project launched, developed, and completed. Check out this great list of consultants:
Bob Wick has generously stayed on as a consultant to The Predicta Project. Bob, a noted commercial artist, technical illustrator, and designer has been associated with the Project for years, and will go forward with expanded responsibilities to create and prepare the illustrations for the book as well as other tasks including the preparation of art that will lead to sophisticated photoetched parts. Bob will also design and produce presentation elements for each part of the Project including the printed paper ephemera (kit instructions, adverts, decal sheet design, and so forth) as well as the design of the display materials and settings for this Project. Bob has also created the new logo for our site based upon Darryl’s Starbird’s original shop logo from the early Sixties, and he has roughed in the draft artwork for the two of the three faux kits we’ll be creating. Thanks, Bob, for your many contributions to this Project!
Lynn Koberna has signed up to advise us about the new 3-D technology and how it can be used to help us with this Project. Lynn has joined our team to advise us on the intricacies and opportunities presented by 3-D printing which technology focuses on three-dimensional deposition “printing” of parts based upon digital information contained in CAD files. If cost issues can be addressed, we’ll take a serious look at how this new technology can be put to use in this project in creating specific parts. Lynn Koberna is a great source of information on 3-D printing and will to be a valued advisor. Lynn – thanks for your technical insight and advice.
JJ Gladstone will continue to do digital photo work for the Project. In the past, JJ has digitally “cleaned up” some of the photos for the book that also appear on this site and we’ll turn to JJ for additional digital help. Thanks, JJ, for your cheerful assistance!
Steve Roullier has recently joined the team to produce the “measurement illustrations” found on this site. His dimensioned photos will be used when I build a correct 1/24-scale body parts! Your help is greatly appreciated, Steve! – only with the correct measurements can an authentic body be built.
With that team in place, and with more time now available to me (I’m going to be semi-retired soon), the following elements of The Predicta Project have been updated and defined:
- The Predicta book. My comprehensive book on the history and details on the Predicta has grown because of the discovery of additional photographs including a remarkable trove of images from Darryl and Donna that chronicle the incredible 2007 tear down and full restoration of the car. Nearly 15 years in development, this definitive history book will feature and trace the car from its 1960 construction and debut through the present day, include 10 chapters, more than a hundred footnotes, 14 Appendices and some surprises. Sign up here for future email notifications on the status of the book.
The Kits: 4
Please go to kits page for a full run-down on the kits we’ll be creating!
1962-era Starbird shop diorama with scale models of the “under restoration” Predicta and Ultra Truck. In a hoped-for collaboration with famed scale automotive dioramist Don Strong, we’re going to replicate in 1/24 scale Starbird’s first shop (circa 1962-63) in which the Predicta was restyled for Monogram at the same time that Starbird’s Ultra Truck (Monogram Model’s kit name: Orange Hauler) was also being built. I’m going to build scale models of the partially-disassembled Predicta, when it was being updated for Monogram and the partially-finished Ultra Truck.
A slot car track diorama that will show the Predicta slot car kit being driven in a futuristic landscape – all as envisioned in the Sixties – against a background of futuristic architecture.
Monogram 1/24 Display Model. Using the parts from the Enhanced Kit, a phantom Monogram-assembled/hobby shop display model will be built and placed atop a revised Monogram hobby store promotional box that we’ll also create: Monogram, back in the day, built “curbside-level” models for hobby shop owners to place upon special display bases that the model kit company also supplied. Go here to learn more about the problems with the historic kit that we’re going to correct.
A Detailed Model of the Predicta. Using the Enhanced Predicta Kit, (plus detailing items) I’ll be building a correct, 1963-era model of the car just after Monogram took delivery. This model will feature contest detailing using the better developed parts from this faux kit.